Žiri vs IB 1975 Ljubljana Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives IB 1975 Ljubljana a double-chance edge of draw or away at 45% each, leaving Žiri as only a 10% home win, so the advice rests on avoiding a home victory rather than on a clear away superiority. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where head-to-head favours the away side 100 to 0 and goals favour them 71 to 29, yet form actually tilts to Žiri at 63 versus 38 and defence is only marginally better for IB at 47 versus 53. Attack and Poisson are dead level at 50 apiece, which suggests the model sees the teams as closely matched in scoring potential and overall strength, so the probabilities are better read as a lean than a strong signal. The team analysis complicates the picture further: Žiri's DWLDLD record with three draws and only two defeats looks steadier than IB's LLLWLL, but IB's single win was a 4-1 home result and their away form includes a 3-0 loss, showing a side capable of both collapse and occasional authority. Žiri's home record is winless across three matches with two defeats and no clean sheets, while IB have lost all three away games without a clean sheet, so neither venue record offers much reassurance. The goals analysis shows Žiri conceding 2.70 per home game against IB's 0.70 away, a split that seems to favour the visitors defensively, but IB's overall concession rate of 2.20 per game and 13 goals against in six matches undercuts that impression. Žiri's late scoring pattern, with 42.86% of their goals in the 76-90 window, contrasts with IB conceding 58.33% of their goals in that same period, a relationship that could keep the home side competitive late even if the model's probabilities do not favour them. The last-five records reinforce the inconsistency on both sides, as Žiri have drawn three and lost two while IB have lost four and won one, and the head-to-head record of two meetings is far too small a sample to treat the 100% away figure as reliable. Overall, the evidence supports the cautious draw-or-away advice mainly through head-to-head and goal metrics, but the level attack and Poisson scores, Žiri's superior form, and IB's poor away record mean the prediction should be treated as uncertain rather than confident.

Predicted winner

IB 1975 Ljubljana

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or IB 1975 Ljubljana

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. IB 1975 Ljubljana 3–1 Žiri (03 May 2026)
2. Žiri 1–2 IB 1975 Ljubljana (18 Oct 2025)