Zidgrad Idrija vs Šencur Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the coherent expression of a fixture it cannot separate.
• Zidgrad's superior form and attack metrics conflict with Šencur's head-to-head sweep and Poisson edge, which is why the model avoids a single winner.
• Šencur's away record is volatile, with a 5-2 loss at Izola offsetting three clean sheets, so the draw leg carries real weight.
• Zidgrad's 2.00 home goals-against average against Šencur's 0.80 home defensive figure suggests the visitors can avoid defeat.
• Both sides scoring late heavily, with Šencur netting 53% of goals after 76 minutes, points to a tight rather than settled contest.
• The 10% home probability reflects Zidgrad's poor home sample of two matches, so backing only Šencur would overstate a thin edge.

Predicted winner

Šencur

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Šencur

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Zidgrad Idrija 1–2 Šencur (14 Mar 2026)
2. Šencur 2–1 Zidgrad Idrija (29 Aug 2025)