Ždírec nad Doubravou vs Bystrc Kníničky Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Bystrc Kníničky a 45% chance of winning and the same 45% chance of a draw, leaving Ždírec nad Doubravou at just 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Bystrc Kníničky rather than an outright away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Bystrc's form score of 60 and defensive score of 75 outweigh Ždírec's attacking edge of 67, and the Poisson estimate of 65 for the away side reinforces the same lean. The team records add nuance: Ždírec have one win, two draws and four defeats from seven, while Bystrc have one win, four draws and two defeats, so Bystrc's greater solidity comes with a heavy draw tendency that explains why the model splits its probability evenly between draw and away win. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast, as Ždírec average 1.40 goals scored but 2.30 conceded, whereas Bystrc average only 1.10 scored yet just 1.30 conceded, suggesting a low-scoring, tight contest rather than an open one. Bystrc's away defensive record is especially notable, with only 0.70 goals conceded per away match and two away clean sheets, while Ždírec's home attack of 2.00 goals per game is offset by 1.70 conceded at home. The last-five records qualify the overall picture, since Ždírec's sequence includes a 3-0 home win over Bedrichov but also a 6-1 away loss to Kuřim, showing a volatile profile. Bystrc's recent form is far more restrained, with three draws, one 2-0 away win at Humpolec and a 1-3 home defeat to Tatran Bohunice, which supports the view that they are hard to beat but not prolific. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can be used to confirm or challenge the model's lean, and the goals-by-minute breakdowns are also unavailable, meaning the timing patterns behind these averages cannot be assessed. Overall, the evidence points toward a cautious, low-scoring match in which Bystrc's defensive reliability and draw-heavy record make the draw-or-away double chance plausible, though the small seven-match sample and Ždírec's home scoring threat keep that conclusion uncertain.

Predicted winner

Bystrc Kníničky

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Bystrc Kníničky

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.