Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Zaragoza vs Teruel Prediction
· Ibercaja Estadio
Match prediction
- Zaragoza's four wins in five, including three clean sheets, justify the double-chance advice despite the model splitting home and draw evenly.
- Teruel's winless run with four scoreless outings and no away goals makes an away victory highly unlikely, supporting the exclusion of the away side.
- The model's 50-50 home-draw split reflects Zaragoza's modest home scoring versus Teruel's stubborn draws, explaining why the draw carries equal weight.
- Zaragoza's perfect home defensive record contrasts with Teruel's away leakiness, suggesting the home side avoids defeat even if goals remain scarce.
- Head-to-head friendlies are too sparse and dated to materially influence the prediction, so recent league form carries greater analytical weight.
- Zaragoza's tendency to win narrowly, with four of five matches decided by one goal, tempers outright home confidence and supports covering the draw.
- Predicted winner
- Zaragoza
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Zaragoza or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Zaragoza | Teruel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Attack | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Defence | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Zaragoza
Recent form: LWWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Teruel
Recent form: DLLLD.
Average goals scored: 0.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Teruel 1–2 Zaragoza (21 Jul 2023)
- Teruel 0–0 Zaragoza (27 Jul 2022)
- Teruel —–— Zaragoza (17 Jul 2021)