York United vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the natural expression of a near-even contest, not a confident away win.
• York's superior attack and form metrics conflict with Supra's 80% head-to-head edge, so the model hedges rather than backing the home side.
• York's 2.30 home goals-for average against Supra's 2.30 away goals-against average supports the +1.5 goals line comfortably.
• Supra's 30% of goals conceded after 76 minutes and York's late-scoring pattern suggest goals can arrive even in a tight finish.
• York's 5-1 home win record against 1 away win shows a strong home split, yet the model still assigns them only 10%.
• Supra's 5-0 win over Pacific followed by a 6-0 loss at Cavalry shows volatility that keeps the draw live alongside the away edge.

Predicted winner

Supra du Quebec

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Supra du Quebec and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. York United 1–1 Supra du Quebec (23 Aug 2026)
2. Supra du Quebec 3–1 York United (30 May 2026)