Canada · Canadian Premier League
York United vs Cavalry FC Prediction
· York Lions Stadium
Match prediction
- Cavalry's dominant form and elite defence justify favouring them, though York's high draw rate explains why the model splits win and draw probabilities evenly.
- York's leaky defence concedes heavily, so Cavalry's strong attack should produce goals, supporting the +1.5 goals component.
- Cavalry's recent away wins and clean sheets reinforce their edge, while York's winless home form weakens any home case.
- Head-to-head results lean heavily toward Cavalry, including a 5-0 win and a 5-1 away victory at this venue.
- York's matches frequently feature goals, and Cavalry's scoring output makes the +1.5 goals line well supported by both sides' profiles.
- The draw-or-Cavalry double chance reflects York's tendency to draw, cushioning against the upset risk their low win probability implies.
- Predicted winner
- Cavalry FC
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Cavalry FC and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | York United | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| Attack | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Defence | 12.0% | 88.0% |
| Poisson | 19.0% | 81.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Total | 27.8% | 72.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
York United
Recent form: DWDWWDLLLLDLLDWDLDDWLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Cavalry FC
Recent form: WWDDWWWLWWWDLWWDWWWWWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cavalry FC 5–0 York United (02 Aug 2026)
- York United 1–5 Cavalry FC (11 Jun 2026)
- Cavalry FC 1–1 York United (25 Apr 2026)
- Cavalry FC 4–1 York United (26 Oct 2025)
- York United 3–1 Cavalry FC (06 Sep 2025)