3. Lig - Group 3 · Turkey

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Adanaspor Prediction

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor badgeYeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Adanaspor badgeAdanaspor

Match prediction

The existing model leans heavily toward Yeşilyurt Belediyespor, assigning a 50% home win probability and a 50% draw probability while giving Adanaspor no chance at 0%, with the advice combining a home win with over 2.5 goals. That confidence is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Yeşilyurt dominate form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (71.00 vs 29.00), defence (91.00 vs 9.00) and Poisson (92.00 vs 8.00), producing an overall 84.70 to 15.30 split. The team analysis explains this gap: Yeşilyurt arrive on a three-match winning streak (WWW) with three wins from three and two clean sheets, while Adanaspor are on an LLL run with three defeats from three and no clean sheets. Yeşilyurt's goals profile is efficient rather than explosive, averaging 1.70 goals scored and only 0.30 conceded, and their 2.5-goal line shows just one over in three matches, which slightly complicates the over 2.5 element of the advice. Adanaspor's numbers are far more damaging, averaging 0.70 goals scored but 3.30 conceded, including a 5-1 away loss and a 1-3 home defeat, so their defensive collapse is the main driver of the high goal expectation. The last-five records broadly confirm the same pattern, with Yeşilyurt winning four of five including 1-0 and 3-1 victories, while Adanaspor lost all four listed matches and conceded six at Muş Sport Klübü. However, the head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either support or qualify the model's read on this specific matchup. The main tension is that Yeşilyurt's own matches have mostly stayed under 2.5 goals even while they win, meaning the combo advice depends more on Adanaspor's leaky defence than on Yeşilyurt's scoring volume. Given the small three-to-five match samples and the absence of head-to-head evidence, the prediction looks directionally reasonable but the over 2.5 component carries more uncertainty than the win component.

Predicted winner
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Yeşilyurt Belediyespor and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorYeşilyurt BelediyesporAdanaspor
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack71.0%29.0%
Defence91.0%9.0%
Poisson92.0%8.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total84.7%15.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Recent form: WWW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Adanaspor

Recent form: LLL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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