Russia · Second League - Group 2
Yenisey II vs Chertanovo Moscow Prediction
Match prediction
- Chertanovo's dominant form and defensive record justify the model's 50% away win probability, though the equal draw share reflects genuine uncertainty.
- Yenisey II's winless away record and heavy recent defeats explain why the model assigns no home win probability.
- Chertanovo's 0.90 goals-against average against Yenisey II's 2.20 supports the double-chance advice while leaving room for a draw.
- Both teams' goal distributions favor moderate scoring, making the +1.5 goals line the safer component of the combined advice.
- Chertanovo's head-to-head edge and superior attack metrics reinforce the away-leaning prediction despite the venue being Yenisey II's home.
- Yenisey II's occasional home wins and the 2025 draw show the fixture is not entirely one-sided, qualifying the draw-or-away recommendation.
- Predicted winner
- Chertanovo Moscow
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Chertanovo Moscow and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Yenisey II | Chertanovo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Attack | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| Defence | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| Poisson | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| H2h | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Goals | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Total | 19.8% | 80.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Yenisey II
Recent form: WLWLLLDLWLLLLLDLWDWDLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Chertanovo Moscow
Recent form: WDLDWWWWLWWWDDDLLWWDWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Chertanovo Moscow 3–1 Yenisey II (14 Jun 2026)
- Yenisey II 2–2 Chertanovo Moscow (02 Nov 2025)
- Chertanovo Moscow 1–0 Yenisey II (30 Mar 2025)
- Yenisey II 1–2 Chertanovo Moscow (13 Oct 2024)
- Chertanovo Moscow 4–1 Yenisey II (25 Jun 2024)


