Russia · Second League - Group 2

Yenisey II vs Chertanovo Moscow Prediction

Yenisey II badgeYenisey II vs Chertanovo Moscow badgeChertanovo Moscow

Match prediction

  • Chertanovo's dominant form and defensive record justify the model's 50% away win probability, though the equal draw share reflects genuine uncertainty.
  • Yenisey II's winless away record and heavy recent defeats explain why the model assigns no home win probability.
  • Chertanovo's 0.90 goals-against average against Yenisey II's 2.20 supports the double-chance advice while leaving room for a draw.
  • Both teams' goal distributions favor moderate scoring, making the +1.5 goals line the safer component of the combined advice.
  • Chertanovo's head-to-head edge and superior attack metrics reinforce the away-leaning prediction despite the venue being Yenisey II's home.
  • Yenisey II's occasional home wins and the 2025 draw show the fixture is not entirely one-sided, qualifying the draw-or-away recommendation.
Predicted winner
Chertanovo Moscow
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Chertanovo Moscow and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorYenisey IIChertanovo Moscow
Form7.0%93.0%
Attack32.0%68.0%
Defence21.0%79.0%
Poisson23.0%77.0%
H2h7.0%93.0%
Goals29.0%71.0%
Total19.8%80.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Yenisey II

Recent form: WLWLLLDLWLLLLLDLWDWDLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Chertanovo Moscow

Recent form: WDLDWWWWLWWWDDDLLWWDWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Chertanovo Moscow 3–1 Yenisey II (14 Jun 2026)
  2. Yenisey II 2–2 Chertanovo Moscow (02 Nov 2025)
  3. Chertanovo Moscow 1–0 Yenisey II (30 Mar 2025)
  4. Yenisey II 1–2 Chertanovo Moscow (13 Oct 2024)
  5. Chertanovo Moscow 4–1 Yenisey II (25 Jun 2024)
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