Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Yeclano vs Elche II Prediction
· Campo de la Constitucion
Match prediction
The existing model gives Yeclano a 45% home win probability and the draw the same 45%, leaving Elche II at just 10%, which frames the advice of a Yeclano-or-draw double chance combined with under 3.5 goals as a cautious lean toward the hosts. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form, attack and defence are all dead level at 50.00 for both sides, and the head-to-head and goals columns sit at 0.00, so the only genuine separation comes from the Poisson estimate of 59.00 versus 41.00 and the narrower total split of 52.30 against 47.80. The team analysis supports a low-scoring reading, since Yeclano's WDL record across three games and Elche II's DLW both produced just two goals scored and two conceded, with each side managing a single clean sheet. Yeclano's home profile is slightly more encouraging than Elche II's away profile, as they have one home win and one home defeat from two attempts while Elche II have drawn one and lost one on the road without winning. The goals analysis adds a timing dimension that qualifies the under 3.5 advice: Yeclano scored both their goals in the 46-75 minute window, whereas Elche II scored their only goal in the opening 15 minutes, and Yeclano conceded both of their goals after the 76th minute while Elche II conceded one in the 61-75 band and two after the 76th. Across all three matches each team stayed under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 goals, which is the strongest single argument for the goals half of the combination bet. The last-five records are less tidy, with Yeclano showing a loss, a draw, a win and two further draws, and Elche II showing a win, a loss, a draw, a win and a loss, so both arrive with mixed recent form rather than a clear run. The head-to-head section is empty, meaning there is no historical meeting data to either confirm or contradict the model's preference, and the small three-match samples behind the form and goals figures mean the 45-45-10 split should be treated as a soft lean rather than a firm edge.
- Predicted winner
- Yeclano
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Yeclano or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Yeclano | Elche II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Yeclano
Recent form: WDL.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Elche II
Recent form: DLW.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


