England · Non League Premier - Southern South

Yate Town vs Frome Town Prediction

Yate Town badgeYate Town vs Frome Town badgeFrome Town

Match prediction

  • Frome Town's superior form and defensive metrics, plus a dominant head-to-head record, justify the double-chance advice despite Yate's home advantage.
  • The model's 45% draw probability, equal to Frome's win chance, explains why the safer double chance is advised over an outright away win.
  • Yate's weak defence rating and recent heavy away defeat suggest they are vulnerable, supporting the draw-or-Frome recommendation.
  • Frome's lower goals-against average and higher clean-sheet count indicate a tighter defence, reinforcing their edge in this matchup.
  • Yate's home form includes two wins from three, a small-sample counterpoint that keeps the draw component of the advice relevant.
  • Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring tendencies, which supports the cautious double-chance approach rather than a high-conviction away win.
Predicted winner
Frome Town
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Frome Town
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorYate TownFrome Town
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence35.0%65.0%
Poisson28.0%72.0%
H2h9.0%91.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total33.0%67.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Yate Town

Recent form: WDDWLLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Frome Town

Recent form: WWLLWWDLD.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Yate Town —–— Frome Town (02 Aug 2025)
  2. Frome Town 2–0 Yate Town (16 Mar 2024)
  3. Yate Town 0–1 Frome Town (26 Aug 2023)
  4. Frome Town 1–0 Yate Town (24 Jul 2021)
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