England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Yate Town vs Frome Town Prediction
Match prediction
- Frome Town's superior form and defensive metrics, plus a dominant head-to-head record, justify the double-chance advice despite Yate's home advantage.
- The model's 45% draw probability, equal to Frome's win chance, explains why the safer double chance is advised over an outright away win.
- Yate's weak defence rating and recent heavy away defeat suggest they are vulnerable, supporting the draw-or-Frome recommendation.
- Frome's lower goals-against average and higher clean-sheet count indicate a tighter defence, reinforcing their edge in this matchup.
- Yate's home form includes two wins from three, a small-sample counterpoint that keeps the draw component of the advice relevant.
- Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring tendencies, which supports the cautious double-chance approach rather than a high-conviction away win.
- Predicted winner
- Frome Town
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Frome Town
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Yate Town | Frome Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Poisson | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| H2h | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Yate Town
Recent form: WDDWLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Frome Town
Recent form: WWLLWWDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Yate Town —–— Frome Town (02 Aug 2025)
- Frome Town 2–0 Yate Town (16 Mar 2024)
- Yate Town 0–1 Frome Town (26 Aug 2023)
- Frome Town 1–0 Yate Town (24 Jul 2021)


