Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's double-chance advice reflects a near-even three-way split, with home and draw each at 35 percent and away at 30.
• Yarud's stronger form and attack ratings support the home side, though their Poisson and head-to-head figures lean toward Nyva, tempering outright confidence.
• Nyva's head-to-head edge is notable but built on away wins, while their weak home record and low scoring reduce its relevance here.
• Both teams average around one goal per game with most matches staying under 2.5, so a tight, low-scoring contest fits the draw component.
• Yarud's home clean-sheet drought and Nyva's late-conceded goals suggest neither defence is reliable enough to guarantee a home win.
• The narrow probability gap means the draw is a genuine hedge rather than a formality, justifying the cautious double-chance advice.

Predicted winner

Yarud Mariupol'

Betting advice

Double chance : Yarud Mariupol' or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Nyva Ternopil 0–3 Yarud Mariupol' (09 May 2026)
2. Nyva Ternopil 3–2 Yarud Mariupol' (04 Mar 2026)
3. Yarud Mariupol' 0–2 Nyva Ternopil (19 Oct 2025)
4. Yarud Mariupol' 0–1 Nyva Ternopil (23 May 2025)
5. Nyva Ternopil 2–3 Yarud Mariupol' (19 Apr 2025)