Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice internally consistent, since both outcomes are equally weighted.
• Xelajú's superior attack and Poisson metrics conflict with its low home win probability, suggesting the model discounts home advantage heavily.
• San Pedro's perfect head-to-head and goals records reflect a single meeting, so those extreme values carry limited predictive weight.
• San Pedro's away form is starkly weak, with zero away wins and four away matches without scoring, undermining the away-win component.
• Xelajú's home record of three wins from five and a strong home attack supports the draw half of the double chance more than an away victory.
• Both teams' low-scoring profiles, with most matches under 2.5 goals, reinforce a tight contest where the draw leg is plausible.

Predicted winner

Deportivo San Pedro

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Deportivo San Pedro

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Deportivo San Pedro 1–0 Xelajú (25 Jul 2026)