Würzburger FV vs Kornburg Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Kornburg a 45% chance of winning and the draw another 45%, leaving Würzburger FV at just 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Kornburg rather than a straight away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Kornburg's edge is concentrated in head-to-head (85 versus 15), goals (88 versus 12) and Poisson (58 versus 42), while Würzburger FV actually leads on form (64 versus 36), attack (58 versus 42) and defence (54 versus 46). The form contradiction is real but partly explained by Würzburger's recent run of three straight wins, including 1-0 at ASV Neumarkt and 2-1 away at Viktoria Aschaffenburg, against Kornburg's two consecutive defeats to Viktoria Aschaffenburg and Jahn Regensburg II. Over the longer sample, though, Würzburger's 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11 games look stronger than Kornburg's 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, and Kornburg's unbeaten-in-two-draws profile helps explain why the draw carries as much weight as the away win. The goals analysis cuts the other way: Würzburger average 2.00 goals for and 1.30 against, while Kornburg average only 1.50 for but a tighter 1.10 against, with Kornburg keeping four clean sheets to Würzburger's three. Kornburg's away scoring is notably volatile, ranging from a 2-7 win to a 3-0 loss, and their home scoring average of 1.00 is modest, which tempers confidence in an outright away victory. The head-to-head record is the strongest single argument for the model's lean, since Kornburg have won three of the last eight meetings by 5-0, 5-0 and 3-0, with the other four ending 1-1 and one 1-0 to Würzburger. Those lopsided Kornburg wins came at their own ground, however, and the most recent meeting in March 2026 finished 1-1 at Würzburger's Sepp-Endres-Sportanlage, so the venue context slightly weakens the head-to-head signal for this fixture. Overall, the evidence supports a low-confidence lean toward Kornburg avoiding defeat rather than a clear away win, because Würzburger's superior form and attack conflict with Kornburg's head-to-head dominance and better defensive record.

Predicted winner

Kornburg

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Kornburg

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Würzburger FV 1–1 Kornburg (14 Mar 2026)
2. Kornburg 5–0 Würzburger FV (23 Aug 2025)
3. Kornburg 5–0 Würzburger FV (25 Oct 2024)
4. Würzburger FV 1–1 Kornburg (20 Jul 2024)
5. Kornburg 3–0 Würzburger FV (23 Feb 2024)