National League · England
Worthing vs FC Halifax Town Prediction
· Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Current score: Worthing 2–1 FC Halifax Town (Halftime)
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Worthing via a double-chance “Worthing or draw” call, with probabilities of 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice is essentially a hedge against a near-even three-way split rather than a strong home endorsement. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Halifax hold the better form figure (56.00 versus 44.00) and the far stronger defence score (80.00 versus 20.00), while Worthing counter with superior attack (63.00 versus 38.00) and a Poisson edge (57.00 versus 43.00). The overall totals are close, 46.00 for Worthing against 54.30 for Halifax, which helps explain why the model stops short of backing a home win outright. Worthing’s nine-game record of four wins, two draws and three defeats, with no failure to score and two home clean sheets, suggests a side that competes in most matches but rarely dominates, and their last five show three draws alongside two wins. Halifax’s nine-game record is also four wins but with only one draw and four defeats, and their last five are notably sharper with three wins, a draw and a single loss, including three clean sheets in that run. The goals analysis adds a further qualification: Worthing average 1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded, while Halifax average 1.60 scored and just 1.20 conceded, so Halifax’s defensive record is the more convincing side of the two profiles. Both teams concede heavily late, with Worthing shipping 46.67% of their goals against in the 76-90 window and Halifax 50.00%, which hints that the closing stages could unsettle an otherwise tight contest. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can be used to separate the sides, and the goals comparison fields are also zeroed out, leaving the form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics as the main basis for the existing prediction. On balance, the evidence supports a competitive, low-margin game in which Worthing’s attacking edge and Halifax’s defensive strength pull in opposite directions, making the double-chance advice a reasonable but far from certain reflection of that tension.
- Predicted winner
- Worthing
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Worthing or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Worthing | FC Halifax Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Poisson | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Worthing
Recent form: WLWLLDDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
FC Halifax Town
Recent form: LLWLWLWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


