Wormatia Worms vs Ahrweiler Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Wormatia Worms as the winner, yet its 45% home probability is matched exactly by a 45% draw probability, with Ahrweiler given only 10%, so the advice is best read as a lean rather than a confident call. The comparison metrics reinforce that tension: Wormatia lead on form (54.00 to 46.00), attack (75.00 to 25.00), defence (29.00 to 71.00) and Poisson (92.00 to 8.00), but the head-to-head, goals and total columns are all recorded as 0.00, meaning those dimensions contribute no separating signal here. Wormatia's nine-game record of four wins, one draw and four losses, including a three-match losing streak, shows a genuinely mixed profile rather than sustained superiority, and their home form of three wins from four with a 5-1 best win is the clearest basis for the home lean. Ahrweiler's single win in nine, with five defeats and a four-match losing run, explains why the model rates them so lowly, though their three draws and one away clean sheet hint at a capacity to frustrate rather than simply collapse. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast: Wormatia average 2.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded, while Ahrweiler average just 0.90 scored and 1.80 conceded, and Ahrweiler have stayed under 2.5 goals in all nine matches, which suggests a low-scoring away performance is more plausible than an open game. Wormatia's attacking output is also home-weighted, at 3.30 goals per home game versus 2.20 away, while their defensive record is far tighter at home (1.30 conceded) than away (2.80), so the venue does appear to matter. The last-five records qualify the headline numbers, however: Wormatia have won only two of five with defeats to Hertha Wiesbach and Gonsenheim, whereas Ahrweiler's most recent outing was a 2-1 home win over TuS RW Koblenz, ending their poor run and suggesting their current state may be slightly better than the season-long picture. With no head-to-head history available, the assessment rests entirely on this season's form and goal data, and the unusually high 45% draw probability alongside Wormatia's inconsistent recent results means the home-win advice carries meaningful uncertainty rather than a strong expectation.

Predicted winner

Wormatia Worms

Betting advice

Winner : Wormatia Worms

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.