England · FA Cup

Worksop Town vs United of Manchester Prediction

Worksop Town badgeWorksop Town vs United of Manchester badgeUnited of Manchester

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away win and 45% draw create a near-even split, so the outright United of Manchester pick carries limited conviction despite the head-to-head edge.
  • Worksop's 71% head-to-head score directly contradicts their weak 10% win probability, suggesting historical dominance is being discounted by current form.
  • United of Manchester's perfect two-win start and superior attack and defence ratings justify their status as favourites on form.
  • Both teams' recent matches show consistent scoring, supporting the +3.5 goals component of the combo advice.
  • Worksop's 67% goals rating and 3.5 average goals scored indicate they contribute to high-scoring games despite defensive concerns.
  • The small two-match samples for both teams mean form and goal averages should be treated cautiously when weighing the advice.
Predicted winner
United of Manchester
Betting advice
Combo Winner : United of Manchester and +3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorWorksop TownUnited of Manchester
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson31.0%69.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total47.7%52.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Worksop Town

Recent form: DW.

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

United of Manchester

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 4.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Worksop Town 1–1 United of Manchester (21 Dec 2024)
  2. Worksop Town 2–0 United of Manchester (26 Oct 2024)
  3. United of Manchester 0–1 Worksop Town (13 Aug 2024)
  4. Worksop Town 4–0 United of Manchester (16 Dec 2023)
  5. United of Manchester 3–0 Worksop Town (12 Aug 2023)
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