Workington vs Blyth Spartans Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output leans toward Workington with a double-chance advice of “Workington or draw,” expressed as 50% home and 50% draw with no away probability, which already signals that the away side is not being credited despite some conflicting evidence. That conflict is sharpest in the comparison metrics, where Blyth Spartans hold 100.00 form and attack values against Workington’s 0.00, while defence and Poisson both sit at 0.00 for each side, suggesting the model’s inputs are sparse or not fully populated rather than genuinely level. The head-to-head and goals splits, however, run the other way: Workington lead 64.00 to 36.00 on head-to-head and 67.00 to 33.00 on goals, with the total comparison at 65.50 versus 34.50, which helps explain why the advice still favours the home team. Workington’s team analysis is essentially empty, with zero fixtures played and no form string, so their case rests on the historical head-to-head and goals splits rather than any current-season record. Blyth Spartans, by contrast, show a “WW” form over two fixtures with one home and one away win, both clean sheets, including a 2-0 home win and a 0-4 away win, giving them 6 goals for and 0 against at an average of 3.00 scored per game. Their goals analysis reinforces that small sample, with two of two matches going over 1.5 goals and both staying under 4.5, while Workington’s goals analysis is entirely zeroed out and therefore uninformative. The last-five records add nuance: Workington have four wins and one loss, including 3-0 wins over Marske United and Lancaster City but a 1-5 defeat at Bury, whereas Blyth Spartans have three wins and two losses, with a 4-0 win at Wythenshawe Amateurs but a 0-1 loss at Redcar Town and a 2-4 home loss to Hebburn Town. The head-to-head record is the clearest historical anchor, showing Workington winning 4-1 at home in March 2025, Blyth winning 1-0 at home in September 2024, and two 2012 FA Cup meetings split as a 1-0 Workington home win and a 1-1 draw at Croft Park. Overall, the advice appears to rest mainly on Workington’s head-to-head and goals advantages plus their stronger recent win volume, but it is qualified by Blyth’s perfect current form and clean sheets, by the empty Workington team and goals data, and by the very small samples involved, so the double chance reads as a cautious rather than a confident conclusion.

Predicted winner

Workington

Betting advice

Double chance : Workington or draw

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Workington 4–1 Blyth Spartans (08 Mar 2025)
2. Blyth Spartans 1–0 Workington (10 Sep 2024)
3. Workington 1–0 Blyth Spartans (01 Oct 2012)
4. Blyth Spartans 1–1 Workington (22 Sep 2012)