Nacional B · Bolivia

Wilstermann Cooperativa vs Mineros Potosi Prediction

Wilstermann Cooperativa badgeWilstermann Cooperativa vs Mineros Potosi badgeMineros Potosi

Match prediction

The existing model gives Mineros Potosi a 45% win probability and Wilstermann Cooperativa only 10%, with a 45% draw chance, yet the advice is a combo of a Mineros win and over 2.5 goals, so the recommendation leans on the away side's edge while accepting that a draw is nearly as likely as a win. That edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Mineros lead form 59 to 41, attack 59 to 41, defence 65 to 35, and dominate the Poisson split 92 to 8, though the head-to-head and goals metrics sit level at 50-50 and the overall totals favour Mineros only 62.5 to 37.5. The team analysis explains part of that gap: Wilstermann's recent form reads DWLWL with two wins, one draw and two losses from five, while Mineros are DLWWW with three wins, one draw and one loss, and Mineros also show the stronger away profile, having scored seven in a single away match and conceded just once on the road. The goals analysis sharpens the over 2.5 case, since Mineros average 3.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across five games, with four of five matches going over 2.5, whereas Wilstermann average 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded and have gone over 2.5 in only three of five. The last-five records support the same direction but with caveats: Mineros won 7-0, 4-1 and 5-1 before losing 0-1 and drawing 3-3, a run that mixes genuine dominance with a blank and a defensive lapse, while Wilstermann's sequence includes a 5-4 home win and a 3-0 away win alongside a 0-1 home loss and a 2-3 away loss, so their matches have been volatile at both ends. The head-to-head record is a single 3-3 draw in August 2026, which is too small a sample to separate the sides and is consistent with the model's near-equal win and draw probabilities rather than with a clear Mineros superiority. The goals-for and goals-against minute breakdowns are unavailable, so no timing pattern can be used to qualify the over 2.5 advice, and the penalty data show no penalties taken by either side. Overall, the evidence jointly supports the Mineros side of the combo through form, defence, Poisson and scoring volume, but the level head-to-head and goals splits plus the high draw probability mean the recommendation should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner
Mineros Potosi
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Mineros Potosi and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorWilstermann CooperativaMineros Potosi
Form41.0%59.0%
Attack41.0%59.0%
Defence35.0%65.0%
Poisson8.0%92.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total37.5%62.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Wilstermann Cooperativa

Recent form: DWLWL.

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Mineros Potosi

Recent form: DLWWW.

Average goals scored: 3.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Mineros Potosi 3–3 Wilstermann Cooperativa (23 Aug 2026)
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