Poland · III Liga - Group 1

Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II Prediction

Wigry Suwałki badgeWigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II badgeWisła Płock II

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Wigry's superior head-to-head and Poisson scores, plus a stronger defence rating, justify leaning toward them within that double chance.
  • Both teams show identical 50% form, yet Wigry's unbeaten away record and four clean sheets suggest slightly more defensive reliability.
  • Wisła Płock II score heavily late and concede across multiple periods, supporting the +1.5 goals component despite modest average totals.
  • Recent meetings produced draws and one-goal margins, so the goal line carries more confidence than any outright winner selection.
  • Wisła Płock II's tendency to avoid failing to score keeps a clean-sheet home win unlikely, reinforcing the draw protection.
Predicted winner
Wigry Suwałki
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Wigry Suwałki or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorWigry SuwałkiWisła Płock II
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson55.0%45.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals57.0%43.0%
Total54.8%45.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Wigry Suwałki

Recent form: WDWDDWLDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Wisła Płock II

Recent form: WWDDLWWDLW.

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Wisła Płock II 2–2 Wigry Suwałki (21 Mar 2026)
  2. Wigry Suwałki 3–2 Wisła Płock II (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Wisła Płock II 2–1 Wigry Suwałki (27 Apr 2025)
  4. Wigry Suwałki 2–0 Wisła Płock II (29 Sep 2024)
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