England · League One

Wigan vs Mansfield Town Prediction

· The Brick Community Stadium

Wigan badgeWigan vs Mansfield Town badgeMansfield Town

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear Wigan edge.
  • Mansfield's stronger attack and form ratings conflict with Wigan's head-to-head and goals superiority, which explains why the away win probability stays low.
  • Wigan's home record of one win in four and five failures to score in seven matches undercuts any expectation of a comfortable home victory.
  • Mansfield's away form is poor, with three defeats and a five-goal loss, supporting the caution behind backing only a draw-inclusive outcome.
  • The head-to-head record leans toward Wigan with two wins and two draws in five, reinforcing the home side's inclusion in the advice.
  • Both teams' low scoring totals and frequent failures to score suggest a tight, low-quality contest where the draw carries real weight.
Predicted winner
Wigan
Betting advice
Double chance : Wigan or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorWiganMansfield Town
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack30.0%70.0%
Defence59.0%41.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total51.3%48.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Wigan

Recent form: LLLWLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Mansfield Town

Recent form: WLWLLDD.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Wigan 2–1 Mansfield Town (11 Apr 2026)
  2. Mansfield Town 1–1 Wigan (25 Oct 2025)
  3. Mansfield Town 0–0 Wigan (04 Mar 2025)
  4. Mansfield Town 0–2 Wigan (14 Jan 2025)
  5. Wigan 1–2 Mansfield Town (22 Oct 2024)
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