Wieczysta Kraków vs Puszcza Niepołomice Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away side carries only a 10% win probability.
• Wieczysta's superior Poisson and head-to-head splits reinforce the home-leaning prediction, though the equal 45% draw share signals genuine uncertainty.
• Puszcza's stronger recent form score conflicts with their poor away record, where five losses and four scoreless trips undercut their counterattacking threat.
• Wieczysta's heavy home reliance, with all five wins at home and none away, supports backing them only in this home setting.
• Both defences rate identically at 50, so the edge rests on Wieczysta's attack and goal metrics rather than any defensive superiority.
• The head-to-head record is mixed across recent meetings, which tempers confidence and explains why the draw is weighted equally with a home win.

Predicted winner

Wieczysta Kraków

Betting advice

Double chance : Wieczysta Kraków or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Wieczysta Kraków 3–1 Puszcza Niepołomice (15 Feb 2026)
2. Puszcza Niepołomice 0–1 Wieczysta Kraków (11 Aug 2025)
3. Puszcza Niepołomice 0–5 Wieczysta Kraków (05 Jul 2025)
4. Puszcza Niepołomice 0–0 Wieczysta Kraków (11 Jul 2023)
5. Puszcza Niepołomice 3–0 Wieczysta Kraków (27 Jan 2023)