Wexford vs Longford Town Prediction
· Ferrycarrig Park
Match prediction
- Longford's stronger form, defensive and head-to-head metrics support the draw-or-away advice, though the equal 45% draw and away probabilities show no clear winner.
- Wexford's poor away scoring and heavy reliance on home form explain their low 10% win probability despite playing at Ferrycarrig Park.
- Longford's superior head-to-head record, including wins at Ferrycarrig Park, reinforces the double-chance advice against a home victory.
- Both attacks rate equally, so the edge comes from Longford's defence and recent form rather than any attacking superiority.
- Wexford's tendency to fail scoring away and Longford's better clean-sheet count support avoiding a home win.
- Late goals dominate both teams' profiles, suggesting the match could stay uncertain, which favours covering the draw alongside Longford.
- Predicted winner
- Longford Town
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Longford Town
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Wexford | Longford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Wexford
Recent form: WLDDDLWWDWLWWLLLWLLDDLDWLWLLLWLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Longford Town
Recent form: DLDDLWLDLWDWLDWLDWWLLWWLWWLWDLLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Longford Town 1–2 Wexford (25 Jul 2026)
- Wexford 1–2 Longford Town (08 May 2026)
- Longford Town 2–0 Wexford (21 Mar 2026)
- Longford Town 2–2 Wexford (30 Aug 2025)
- Wexford 0–1 Longford Town (20 Jun 2025)