Wettswil-Bonstetten vs Mendrisio Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a draw-or-Mendrisio double chance, assigning 45% to each of those outcomes and only 10% to a Wettswil-Bonstetten win, a split that the comparison metrics broadly reinforce. Form is the sharpest separator, with Mendrisio rated 67.00 against Wettswil-Bonstetten's 33.00, and the attack and head-to-head figures point the same way at 57.00 versus 43.00 and 60.00 versus 40.00 respectively. Those gaps are not overwhelming, however, since defence (52.00 to 48.00), Poisson (51.00 to 49.00) and goals (50.00 to 50.00) are all close to even, so the model's confidence rests more on form and history than on a clear all-round edge. The team records add nuance: Wettswil-Bonstetten's LWLDLDL includes two home draws and no home defeats, while Mendrisio's DDDLWLL shows three draws and a single win, meaning neither side arrives in convincing winning rhythm. Mendrisio's away record is especially relevant, with three draws and two losses from five road matches, which supports the draw component of the advice even as it undercuts the case for an outright away win. Goals analysis shows Wettswil-Bonstetten scoring 1.10 per game and conceding 1.90, against Mendrisio's 1.30 scored and 1.60 conceded, so both teams leak goals and neither profile suggests a comfortable clean-sheet victory. The last-five records echo this: Wettswil-Bonstetten have one draw and three defeats with a 1-1 home draw against Thalwil, while Mendrisio's sequence includes a 2-0 home win over Freienbach, a 1-1 draw at Collina d'Oro and a 4-3 away loss at Eschen / Mauren. The head-to-head record is the strongest single counterweight to a home win, since Mendrisio won four of the six meetings, including a 2-1 victory at Wettswil-Bonstetten in October 2024 and a 1-2 win in Mendrisio in September 2025, although the most recent meeting in March 2026 was a 2-0 home win for Wettswil-Bonstetten. Taken together, the evidence supports the draw-or-Mendrisio position through form, attack and head-to-head, but the narrow defensive, Poisson and goals margins, plus Wettswil-Bonstetten's unbeaten home record and that recent 2-0 head-to-head win, mean the 10% home probability looks like the model's least secure assumption rather than a firmly excluded outcome.

Predicted winner

Mendrisio

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Mendrisio

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Wettswil-Bonstetten 2–0 Mendrisio (28 Mar 2026)
2. Mendrisio 1–2 Wettswil-Bonstetten (13 Sep 2025)
3. Mendrisio 2–1 Wettswil-Bonstetten (30 Apr 2025)
4. Wettswil-Bonstetten 1–2 Mendrisio (05 Oct 2024)
5. Wettswil-Bonstetten 0–1 Mendrisio (20 Mar 2024)