Oberliga - Nordost-Süd · Germany
Weissenfels vs Plauen Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Weissenfels a 45% home win and 45% draw probability against Plauen, leaving only 10% for an away win, which is why the advice is a double chance on Weissenfels or draw. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Weissenfels leads on form (64.00 vs 36.00), attack (59.00 vs 41.00) and total (51.30 vs 48.80), though the defensive split is much narrower at 47.00 against 53.00. The Poisson metric is the clearest counterweight, favouring Plauen 65.00 to 35.00, so the model's own components are not unanimous and the head-to-head, goals and h2h comparison fields are all empty, meaning those dimensions provide no supporting or conflicting signal. Weissenfels' last five (WWLLW) show three wins but also two defeats, including a 0-4 home loss to Germania Halberstadt, and their goal profile is strikingly away-weighted: 9 of 10 goals came on the road at 3.00 per away game versus 0.50 at home, while they conceded 2.00 per home match. Plauen's last five (WLDDL) contain just one win, two draws and two losses, and their goals are similarly home-heavy, with 6 of 7 scored at home (2.00 per game) against only 0.50 away, alongside a modest 1.40 goals-for and 1.40 goals-against average overall. Both teams have played five fixtures, but Weissenfels' 3 wins and 0 draws contrast with Plauen's 1 win and 2 draws, which helps explain the form gap even though Plauen's two draws show they are not easily beaten. The clean-sheet data add a further qualification: Weissenfels kept two shutouts while Plauen kept none, yet Weissenfels also failed to score once and Plauen failed to score once, so neither attack is reliably prolific. With no head-to-head record available and the Poisson model pointing the other way, the double-chance advice looks reasonable but not strongly supported, and the 45% draw probability suggests the model itself sees a close, low-conviction contest rather than a clear Weissenfels win.
- Predicted winner
- Weissenfels
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Weissenfels or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Weissenfels | Plauen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Defence | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Poisson | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Weissenfels
Recent form: WWLLW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Plauen
Recent form: WLDDL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


