Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg Prediction
Match prediction
- Weiden's stronger recent form and superior defensive rating support the home side of the double chance, though the equal 35% home and draw probabilities show the model sees little separation.
- Aschaffenburg's higher Poisson share and away scoring average of 2.30 qualify the home lean, since their road attack can punish Weiden's leaky home defence.
- Weiden's 2.50 home goals-against average and heavy home loss record make the draw component of the double chance genuinely necessary rather than decorative.
- Both teams' goal totals and the +1.5 line align, as each side's matches routinely clear one and a half goals while rarely exceeding three.
- Aschaffenburg's four clean sheets and better defensive rating conflict with their weaker form, suggesting the away threat is real but inconsistent.
- The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests on current-season form and goal data alone, so the modest probability gaps should be treated cautiously.
- Predicted winner
- Weiden
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Weiden or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Weiden | Viktoria Aschaffenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Poisson | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Weiden
Recent form: LLDLDLWWLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Recent form: WWLDLWWLLLWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


