Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Weiden vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg Prediction

Weiden badgeWeiden vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg badgeViktoria Aschaffenburg

Match prediction

  • Weiden's stronger recent form and superior defensive rating support the home side of the double chance, though the equal 35% home and draw probabilities show the model sees little separation.
  • Aschaffenburg's higher Poisson share and away scoring average of 2.30 qualify the home lean, since their road attack can punish Weiden's leaky home defence.
  • Weiden's 2.50 home goals-against average and heavy home loss record make the draw component of the double chance genuinely necessary rather than decorative.
  • Both teams' goal totals and the +1.5 line align, as each side's matches routinely clear one and a half goals while rarely exceeding three.
  • Aschaffenburg's four clean sheets and better defensive rating conflict with their weaker form, suggesting the away threat is real but inconsistent.
  • The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests on current-season form and goal data alone, so the modest probability gaps should be treated cautiously.
Predicted winner
Weiden
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Weiden or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorWeidenViktoria Aschaffenburg
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence58.0%42.0%
Poisson24.0%76.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Weiden

Recent form: LLDLDLWWLWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Recent form: WWLDLWWLLLWD.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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