Poland · III Liga - Group 2

Wda Świecie vs Polonia Środa Prediction

Wda Świecie badgeWda Świecie vs Polonia Środa badgePolonia Środa

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even probabilities, with home and draw each at 35%, justify a double-chance approach rather than backing Wda Świecie outright.
  • Wda Świecie's superior head-to-head record and home advantage offset Polonia Środa's stronger attack and Poisson ratings, supporting the cautious double chance.
  • Polonia Środa's unbeaten ten-match form and higher attack rating make them dangerous opponents, which explains why the model avoids a straight home win.
  • Both teams scoring consistently, with Wda Świecie never failing to score and Polonia Środa averaging 2.9 goals, supports the +1.5 goals component.
  • Wda Świecie's defensive vulnerability at home, conceding 1.5 goals per game, combined with Polonia's scoring form, reinforces the over 1.5 goals expectation.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have produced high-scoring affairs, further supporting the goals element of the advice despite the tight win-or-draw prediction.
Predicted winner
Wda Świecie
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Wda Świecie or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorWda ŚwieciePolonia Środa
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence71.0%29.0%
Poisson41.0%59.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total51.5%48.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Wda Świecie

Recent form: DWDWWWWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Polonia Środa

Recent form: WWWWWWDWDD.

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Wda Świecie 3–2 Polonia Środa (01 May 2026)
  2. Polonia Środa 5–1 Wda Świecie (10 Oct 2025)
  3. Polonia Środa 1–1 Wda Świecie (30 May 2025)
  4. Wda Świecie 2–0 Polonia Środa (09 Nov 2024)
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