Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa Prediction
· Estadio Olimpico del IND Managua
Match prediction
- Walter Ferretti's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home-winner advice, though the 45% draw probability signals only a modest edge.
- Jalapa's head-to-head and goals records favour them historically, creating a genuine conflict with the model's home lean.
- Jalapa's six-match losing streak and one win in nine underline their poor current trajectory, reinforcing the case against them.
- Both sides concede heavily after the hour mark, so late goals could unsettle a narrow home lead.
- Walter Ferretti's home scoring average exceeds Jalapa's away output, supporting the attacking rationale behind the prediction.
- Jalapa's low scoring rate and frequent failures to score make an away win unlikely, aligning with their 10% probability.
- Predicted winner
- Walter Ferretti
- Betting advice
- Winner : Walter Ferretti
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Walter Ferretti | Jalapa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 60.7% | 39.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Walter Ferretti
Recent form: LLWLWLLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Jalapa
Recent form: WLLLLLLDL.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Jalapa 1–0 Walter Ferretti (19 Jul 2026)
- Jalapa 3–0 Walter Ferretti (30 Apr 2026)
- Jalapa 1–1 Walter Ferretti (26 Apr 2026)
- Walter Ferretti 0–0 Jalapa (22 Feb 2026)
- Walter Ferretti 3–1 Jalapa (16 Nov 2025)