World · UEFA Nations League

Wales vs Norway Prediction

Wales badgeWales vs Norway badgeNorway

Match prediction

  • Norway's perfect recent form and superior attack rating contrast sharply with Wales' two straight defeats without scoring.
  • Wales' inability to score in both recent matches and zero goals-for average undermines any home advantage.
  • Norway's 3-2 win over Denmark shows they can edge tight matches, supporting the narrow winner call.
  • The 45% draw probability equals Norway's win probability, so the model's edge is modest rather than decisive.
  • Norway's defensive record is also leaky, conceding twice in both recent home games, which tempers confidence in a clean win.
  • Wales' defence rating is marginally better than Norway's, suggesting the away side's advantage rests mainly on attack.
Predicted winner
Norway
Betting advice
Winner : Norway
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorWalesNorway
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack0.0%100.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Wales

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Norway

Recent form: WL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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