World · UEFA Nations League

Wales vs Denmark Prediction

Wales badgeWales vs Denmark badgeDenmark

Match prediction

  • Denmark's perfect form and attacking metrics contrast sharply with Wales' two straight defeats, supporting the away-winner advice despite the modest 45% probability.
  • The 45% draw probability equals Denmark's win probability, so the model's edge is narrow and the advice carries real uncertainty.
  • Denmark's recent 2-0 head-to-head win over Wales reinforces the away pick, though Wales' 2021 four-goal victory shows this fixture can swing.
  • Wales failed to score in both recent losses, while Denmark scored twice in every recent match, tilting the attacking evidence toward the away side.
  • Denmark's defensive record is mixed, conceding three to Norway and four to Portugal, which qualifies the confidence in a clean away win.
  • Wales' home form is unproven with zero home fixtures played, so the low 10% home probability rests on limited direct evidence.
Predicted winner
Denmark
Betting advice
Winner : Denmark
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorWalesDenmark
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack0.0%100.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals9.0%91.0%
Total29.5%70.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Wales

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Denmark

Recent form: LW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Denmark 2–0 Wales (27 Sep 2026)
  2. Wales 0–4 Denmark (26 Jun 2021)
  3. Wales 1–2 Denmark (16 Nov 2018)
  4. Denmark 2–0 Wales (09 Sep 2018)
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