Wales vs Denmark Prediction
Match prediction
- Denmark's perfect form and attacking metrics contrast sharply with Wales' two straight defeats, supporting the away-winner advice despite the modest 45% probability.
- The 45% draw probability equals Denmark's win probability, so the model's edge is narrow and the advice carries real uncertainty.
- Denmark's recent 2-0 head-to-head win over Wales reinforces the away pick, though Wales' 2021 four-goal victory shows this fixture can swing.
- Wales failed to score in both recent losses, while Denmark scored twice in every recent match, tilting the attacking evidence toward the away side.
- Denmark's defensive record is mixed, conceding three to Norway and four to Portugal, which qualifies the confidence in a clean away win.
- Wales' home form is unproven with zero home fixtures played, so the low 10% home probability rests on limited direct evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Denmark
- Betting advice
- Winner : Denmark
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Wales | Denmark |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| Total | 29.5% | 70.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Wales
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Denmark
Recent form: LW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Denmark 2–0 Wales (27 Sep 2026)
- Wales 0–4 Denmark (26 Jun 2021)
- Wales 1–2 Denmark (16 Nov 2018)
- Denmark 2–0 Wales (09 Sep 2018)


