Wales U19 vs Norway U19 Prediction
Match prediction
- Norway's superior form, attack, and head-to-head record justify the model's lean, though the 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Wales' three-match losing run, including a 0-4 home defeat, supports the low 10% home win probability.
- Norway's 3-1 win over Wales in June provides direct recent evidence, but that match was at home, tempering its predictive weight.
- Wales failed to score in four of five recent matches, undermining any case for the home side despite the friendly setting.
- Norway's defensive record is only marginally better than Wales', so the away win rests more on attacking output than solidity.
- The equal 45% split between away win and draw suggests the model sees Norway as likelier to win than lose, but not decisively.
- Predicted winner
- Norway U19
- Betting advice
- Winner : Norway U19
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Wales U19 | Norway U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Total | 28.0% | 72.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Wales U19
Recent form: LWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Norway U19
Recent form: LLWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Norway U19 3–1 Wales U19 (08 Jun 2026)
- Norway U19 5–0 Wales U19 (09 Oct 2021)