Waalwijk vs Emmen Prediction
· Mandemakers Stadion
Match prediction
- Waalwijk's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home win, though the model's 50% draw probability signals genuine uncertainty.
- Emmen's away record is volatile, conceding 3.7 goals per away game, which strengthens the case for Waalwijk and over 2.5 goals.
- Waalwijk's home scoring of 3.5 goals per game and Emmen's leaky away defence align with the +2.5 goals component of the advice.
- Waalwijk's recent form includes a 6-1 home win but also a 0-2 away loss, showing the inconsistency that keeps the draw probability elevated.
- Head-to-head favours Waalwijk, including a 5-0 home win, yet two recent draws suggest Emmen can frustrate the home side.
- Both teams' goal distributions show most scoring after halftime, indicating the over 2.5 goals bet may need patience before materialising.
- Predicted winner
- Waalwijk
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Waalwijk and +2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- +2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Waalwijk | Emmen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Poisson | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Waalwijk
Recent form: DDDDWWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Emmen
Recent form: WWWLWLLW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Waalwijk 5–0 Emmen (10 Apr 2026)
- Emmen 2–2 Waalwijk (02 Nov 2025)
- Waalwijk 2–0 Emmen (28 Jan 2023)
- Emmen 1–1 Waalwijk (13 Aug 2022)
- Emmen 3–1 Waalwijk (04 Apr 2021)