Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo vs Roda Prediction

· Seacon - De Koel

VVV Venlo badgeVVV Venlo vs Roda badgeRoda

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since Roda's win chance is only 10%.
  • VVV's attack rating of 70 against Roda's defence of 75 suggests the hosts may struggle to convert dominance into clear chances.
  • Roda's 75 defensive rating and four clean sheets in eight games explain why a draw carries equal probability to a home win.
  • VVV's 3.00 home goals per game contrasts sharply with Roda's 0.50 away average, supporting home attacking potential.
  • Roda's 0.60 goals-against average and two away blanks show their low-scoring, resilient profile keeps the draw firmly in play.
  • Head-to-head favours VVV at 62%, yet recent meetings include draws, reinforcing caution rather than outright home confidence.
Predicted winner
VVV Venlo
Betting advice
Double chance : VVV Venlo or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorVVV VenloRoda
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack70.0%30.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson60.0%40.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals61.0%39.0%
Total54.7%45.3%

Team form and goal analysis

VVV Venlo

Recent form: LWWWLWWL.

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Roda

Recent form: LWWDDWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Roda 2–2 VVV Venlo (26 Jan 2026)
  2. VVV Venlo 3–1 Roda (24 Aug 2025)
  3. Roda 1–4 VVV Venlo (29 Mar 2025)
  4. VVV Venlo 1–1 Roda (25 Aug 2024)
  5. Roda 2–1 VVV Venlo (07 Apr 2024)
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