Croatia · Cup

Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction

· Stadion Gradski vrt

Vukovar badgeVukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb badgeDinamo Zagreb

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% Dinamo split makes double chance the logical expression of near-equal win and stalemate likelihoods.
  • Dinamo's perfect defensive and Poisson scores contrast with Vukovar's zero, yet the modest 45% away probability shows the model still prices cup upset risk.
  • Vukovar's two home wins and 2.5 goals per home game suggest they can score, but their 0.5 goals-against average concedes chances too.
  • Dinamo's 4-0 cup win and 3-2 league victory show scoring form, though a 2-4 loss at Osijek tempers any assumption of dominance.
  • Head-to-head favours Dinamo 75%, but Vukovar won the most recent meeting at this venue, supporting the draw-inclusive advice.
  • Both teams' recent matches produced goals, so the double chance covers the likely outcome without relying on a clean Dinamo win.
Predicted winner
Dinamo Zagreb
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Dinamo Zagreb
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorVukovarDinamo Zagreb
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals23.0%77.0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Vukovar

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Dinamo Zagreb

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vukovar 1–4 Dinamo Zagreb (13 Apr 2026)
  2. Dinamo Zagreb 3–1 Vukovar (02 Feb 2026)
  3. Vukovar 1–0 Dinamo Zagreb (27 Oct 2025)
  4. Dinamo Zagreb 3–0 Vukovar (08 Aug 2025)
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