Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast

Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919 Prediction

Volov Shumen badgeVolov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919 badgeChernolomets 1919

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Volov Shumen's 10% win share is the clear outlier.
  • Chernolomets's superior defence rating and head-to-head edge support the away side, though Volov's stronger attack and Poisson score create genuine tension.
  • Both teams scoring in every recent match and averaging over two goals combined makes the +1.5 goals component well aligned with the evidence.
  • Volov's five-match winning streak against Chernolomets's mixed recent form shows momentum favoring the home side, qualifying the away lean.
  • The head-to-head record is split between home and away wins, so it strengthens Chernolomets without decisively separating the sides.
  • Volov's perfect home record and clean sheets suggest the draw carries real weight, consistent with the model's equal draw and away probabilities.
Predicted winner
Chernolomets 1919
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Chernolomets 1919 and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorVolov ShumenChernolomets 1919
Form48.0%52.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence29.0%71.0%
Poisson90.0%10.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals37.0%63.0%
Total48.5%51.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Volov Shumen

Recent form: DWWWWWL.

Average goals scored: 3.40 per match.

Chernolomets 1919

Recent form: DLDWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Volov Shumen 5–0 Chernolomets 1919 (13 May 2026)
  2. Chernolomets 1919 2–1 Volov Shumen (15 Nov 2025)
  3. Chernolomets 1919 —–— Volov Shumen (15 Oct 2023)
  4. Chernolomets 1919 8–0 Volov Shumen (03 Jun 2023)
  5. Volov Shumen 1–2 Chernolomets 1919 (26 Nov 2022)
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