Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast
Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919 Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Volov Shumen's 10% win share is the clear outlier.
- Chernolomets's superior defence rating and head-to-head edge support the away side, though Volov's stronger attack and Poisson score create genuine tension.
- Both teams scoring in every recent match and averaging over two goals combined makes the +1.5 goals component well aligned with the evidence.
- Volov's five-match winning streak against Chernolomets's mixed recent form shows momentum favoring the home side, qualifying the away lean.
- The head-to-head record is split between home and away wins, so it strengthens Chernolomets without decisively separating the sides.
- Volov's perfect home record and clean sheets suggest the draw carries real weight, consistent with the model's equal draw and away probabilities.
- Predicted winner
- Chernolomets 1919
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Chernolomets 1919 and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Volov Shumen | Chernolomets 1919 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Volov Shumen
Recent form: DWWWWWL.
Average goals scored: 3.40 per match.
Chernolomets 1919
Recent form: DLDWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Volov Shumen 5–0 Chernolomets 1919 (13 May 2026)
- Chernolomets 1919 2–1 Volov Shumen (15 Nov 2025)
- Chernolomets 1919 —–— Volov Shumen (15 Oct 2023)
- Chernolomets 1919 8–0 Volov Shumen (03 Jun 2023)
- Volov Shumen 1–2 Chernolomets 1919 (26 Nov 2022)


