Liga III - Serie 3 · Romania
Voința Crevedia vs Plopeni Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model output leans toward Voința Crevedia, with a 45% home win probability and a 45% draw probability, leaving Plopeni a modest 10% chance, and the advised combo pairs a Voința Crevedia win with over 1.5 goals. That advice is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Voința Crevedia leads on form (54.00 vs 46.00), attack (71.00 vs 29.00), defence (53.00 vs 47.00) and Poisson (76.00 vs 24.00), producing a total split of 63.50 to 36.50. The goals analysis reinforces the attacking edge, since Voința Crevedia average 2.40 goals per game against Plopeni's 1.00, though the defensive picture is less one-sided than the attack gap suggests, with Voința conceding 1.80 per game and Plopeni 2.00. The over 1.5 component also finds support in the goal distributions: Voința Crevedia have gone over 1.5 in three of five matches, while Plopeni have done so in two of five, and neither side has exceeded 2.5 goals more than once. Recent form adds nuance rather than certainty, as Voința Crevedia's WLLDW run includes a 6-1 away win at Râmnicu Sărat but also home defeats and a draw, while Plopeni's WLWLL sequence shows two home wins without conceding alongside three losses in which they conceded three or more. The home and away splits further qualify the home favouritism, because Voința Crevedia have one home win, one home draw and one home loss from three, whereas Plopeni have won both of their home matches but lost both away games, suggesting their away vulnerability may be the more reliable signal. However, the head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to confirm or contradict the model's lean, and the goals-by-minute breakdowns are also unavailable, which limits any assessment of when goals tend to arrive. The near-equal 45% home and draw probabilities indicate that the model itself treats a stalemate as a serious alternative, so the win-and-over-1.5 advice should be read as a plausible but not dominant outcome rather than a firm conclusion.
- Predicted winner
- Voința Crevedia
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Voința Crevedia and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Voința Crevedia | Plopeni |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Voința Crevedia
Recent form: WLLDW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Plopeni
Recent form: WLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


