Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Celtiga Prediction
Match prediction
- Celtiga's superior attack and form ratings, plus a perfect Poisson share, justify favoring them despite the modest 45% win probability.
- The identical 45% draw probability explains why the advice hedges with a double chance rather than backing Celtiga outright.
- Viveiro's 10% win probability aligns with three scoreless defeats in four games and no home goals this season.
- Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5, supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Celtiga's leaky away defence, conceding twice per away game, tempers confidence in a clean away victory.
- The head-to-head record favors Celtiga but includes a recent goalless draw, reinforcing the draw-or-away hedge.
- Predicted winner
- Celtiga
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Celtiga and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Viveiro | Celtiga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Viveiro
Recent form: LLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Celtiga
Recent form: DLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Viveiro 0–0 Celtiga (15 Mar 2026)
- Celtiga 2–1 Viveiro (26 Oct 2025)