Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction
· Barradao
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Vitoria or draw
Match prediction
- The model's three-way split is nearly even, so the double chance reflects caution rather than a clear edge for Vitoria.
- Vitoria's home record of nine wins and nine clean sheets contrasts sharply with zero away wins, supporting home-leaning advice.
- Chapecoense's superior form and attack metrics conflict with Vitoria's strong home defence, explaining why the win probability stays modest.
- Vitoria's away scoring average of 0.70 versus 1.30 at home shows the venue is decisive for their attacking output.
- Chapecoense concedes 2.20 goals per home game, a defensive weakness that keeps the draw and home win probabilities balanced.
- Head-to-head results are split evenly, offering no historical separation to strengthen either side beyond the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Vitoria
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Vitoria or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Vitoria | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Vitoria
Recent form: WLLDWLWLDWDLWDLWLWDLLLWLLWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Chapecoense-sc
Recent form: WDDLDDLLDLLLLDLLLLLDLDWLWLD.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Vitoria (05 Apr 2026)
- Chapecoense-sc 3–1 Vitoria (25 Nov 2023)
- Vitoria 1–0 Chapecoense-sc (25 Jul 2023)
- Vitoria 0–0 Chapecoense-sc (17 Jan 2021)
- Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Vitoria (17 Oct 2020)