Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4
Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a genuinely balanced fixture.
- Vindbjart's superior defensive and Poisson metrics, alongside better recent form, support their inclusion in the double chance despite the tight probabilities.
- Flekkerøy's strong head-to-head and goals records pull against the home-leaning advice, explaining why the away win retains a meaningful 30% share.
- Both teams' tendency toward lower-scoring matches, with most games under 2.5 goals, reinforces a draw as a live component of the recommended double chance.
- Vindbjart's mixed recent results, including three defeats in five, temper confidence in an outright home win and justify the draw cover.
- Flekkerøy's away defensive vulnerability, conceding heavily on the road, slightly strengthens the case for the home side avoiding defeat.
- Predicted winner
- Vindbjart
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Vindbjart or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Vindbjart | Flekkerøy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Vindbjart
Recent form: LWWWWDLLDWWLWWLWWWLLW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Flekkerøy
Recent form: DWLWDWWWWWLWLWLLWLLDW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Vindbjart 2–1 Flekkerøy (22 Aug 2026)
- Flekkerøy 2–0 Vindbjart (23 May 2026)
- Vindbjart 0–6 Flekkerøy (19 May 2022)
- Vindbjart 0–1 Flekkerøy (24 Jul 2021)
- Vindbjart —–— Flekkerøy (28 Mar 2020)


