Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy Prediction

Vindbjart badgeVindbjart vs Flekkerøy badgeFlekkerøy

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a genuinely balanced fixture.
  • Vindbjart's superior defensive and Poisson metrics, alongside better recent form, support their inclusion in the double chance despite the tight probabilities.
  • Flekkerøy's strong head-to-head and goals records pull against the home-leaning advice, explaining why the away win retains a meaningful 30% share.
  • Both teams' tendency toward lower-scoring matches, with most games under 2.5 goals, reinforces a draw as a live component of the recommended double chance.
  • Vindbjart's mixed recent results, including three defeats in five, temper confidence in an outright home win and justify the draw cover.
  • Flekkerøy's away defensive vulnerability, conceding heavily on the road, slightly strengthens the case for the home side avoiding defeat.
Predicted winner
Vindbjart
Betting advice
Double chance : Vindbjart or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorVindbjartFlekkerøy
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson71.0%29.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals17.0%83.0%
Total48.8%51.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Vindbjart

Recent form: LWWWWDLLDWWLWWLWWWLLW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Flekkerøy

Recent form: DWLWDWWWWWLWLWLLWLLDW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vindbjart 2–1 Flekkerøy (22 Aug 2026)
  2. Flekkerøy 2–0 Vindbjart (23 May 2026)
  3. Vindbjart 0–6 Flekkerøy (19 May 2022)
  4. Vindbjart 0–1 Flekkerøy (24 Jul 2021)
  5. Vindbjart —–— Flekkerøy (28 Mar 2020)
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