Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Torrijos Prediction
Match prediction
- Torrijos's unbeaten four-match form with three clean sheets sharply contrasts Villarrubia's winless start, supporting the double-chance advice.
- Villarrubia's attack has produced just two goals in four games, making an outright home win unlikely despite the draw component of the advice.
- Torrijos's defensive record of one goal conceded in four matches explains the low home probability and the model's preference for avoiding a Villarrubia victory.
- The head-to-head record is balanced with three draws in six meetings, which justifies including the draw alongside Torrijos in the advice.
- Villarrubia's heavy 0-4 home defeat and failure to score in two of four games weaken any case for backing them outright.
- Torrijos's modest scoring average of 1.3 goals per game suggests the margin may be narrow, keeping the draw a realistic outcome within the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Torrijos
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Torrijos
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Villarrubia | Torrijos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Attack | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Defence | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Poisson | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 25.7% | 74.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Villarrubia
Recent form: DDLL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Torrijos
Recent form: WWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Villarrubia 0–0 Torrijos (31 Mar 2024)
- Torrijos 0–0 Villarrubia (12 Nov 2023)
- Villarrubia 0–0 Torrijos (23 Apr 2023)
- Torrijos 1–2 Villarrubia (08 Jan 2023)
- Villarrubia 0–2 Torrijos (09 Jan 2022)


