Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

Villarrubia vs Torrijos Prediction

Villarrubia badgeVillarrubia vs Torrijos badgeTorrijos

Match prediction

  • Torrijos's unbeaten four-match form with three clean sheets sharply contrasts Villarrubia's winless start, supporting the double-chance advice.
  • Villarrubia's attack has produced just two goals in four games, making an outright home win unlikely despite the draw component of the advice.
  • Torrijos's defensive record of one goal conceded in four matches explains the low home probability and the model's preference for avoiding a Villarrubia victory.
  • The head-to-head record is balanced with three draws in six meetings, which justifies including the draw alongside Torrijos in the advice.
  • Villarrubia's heavy 0-4 home defeat and failure to score in two of four games weaken any case for backing them outright.
  • Torrijos's modest scoring average of 1.3 goals per game suggests the margin may be narrow, keeping the draw a realistic outcome within the double chance.
Predicted winner
Torrijos
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Torrijos
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorVillarrubiaTorrijos
Form17.0%83.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence11.0%89.0%
Poisson7.0%93.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total25.7%74.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Villarrubia

Recent form: DDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Torrijos

Recent form: WWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Villarrubia 0–0 Torrijos (31 Mar 2024)
  2. Torrijos 0–0 Villarrubia (12 Nov 2023)
  3. Villarrubia 0–0 Torrijos (23 Apr 2023)
  4. Torrijos 1–2 Villarrubia (08 Jan 2023)
  5. Villarrubia 0–2 Torrijos (09 Jan 2022)
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