Vilkhivtsi vs Ruh Lviv Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Ruh Lviv a 45% win probability, identical to the draw at 45%, with Vilkhivtsi far behind at 10%, so the advice of an away winner is only a marginal lean rather than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Vilkhivtsi actually holds the better form score (63.00 versus 38.00) and a slightly stronger defence (53.00 versus 47.00), while Ruh Lviv's advantages are concentrated in attack (64.00 versus 36.00) and especially the Poisson estimate (82.00 versus 18.00). The form strings complicate this further: Vilkhivtsi's LLDDLW includes two draws and a recent away win, whereas Ruh Lviv's LWLLLL shows five defeats in six, so the model's attacking and Poisson preference for the visitors sits awkwardly against the host's superior recent results. Vilkhivtsi's underlying numbers are modest, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game, and their home record is notably poor at three losses from three with no clean sheets at home. Ruh Lviv score more freely at 1.70 per game and concede the same 1.80 overall, but their away form is mixed, featuring a 2-6 win alongside three away defeats, and they have failed to score twice in six matches. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Vilkhivtsi beat Skala 1911 Stryi 1-0 away and Chornomorets 1-0 at home but lost 0-3 to Shakhtar Donetsk and 0-2 to Dnister Zalishchyky, while Ruh Lviv have lost four of five, including 2-3 at home to Podillya Khmelnytskyi and 0-1 away at both Nyva Ternopil II and Skala 1911 Stryi. Goal-timing data offers little separation, as both teams' goals cluster in the middle and later phases, and both have kept only one clean sheet between them across the sample. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct meeting history can support or undermine the away lean, and the goals comparison fields are also zero, leaving the Poisson and attack metrics as the main drivers of the 45% away probability. Overall, the evidence supports treating Ruh Lviv as a slight favourite on attacking and Poisson grounds, but the equal draw probability, Vilkhivtsi's better form and defence scores, and Ruh Lviv's five defeats in six make this a genuinely uncertain call rather than a confident one.

Predicted winner

Ruh Lviv

Betting advice

Winner : Ruh Lviv

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.