Liga III - Serie 1 · Romania

Viitorul Onesti vs CSM FC Vaslui Prediction

Viitorul Onesti badgeViitorul Onesti vs CSM FC Vaslui badgeCSM FC Vaslui

Match prediction

The existing model gives Viitorul Onesti a 35% win probability and the draw another 35%, leaving CSM FC Vaslui at 30%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Viitorul Onesti or the draw rather than a straight home win. That cautious framing sits awkwardly against the comparison metrics, where CSM FC Vaslui lead on form (76.00 to 24.00), attack (60.00 to 40.00), defence (58.00 to 42.00) and goals (60.00 to 40.00), while Viitorul Onesti counter only through Poisson (54.00 to 46.00) and head-to-head (67.00 to 33.00). The overall totals are nearly level at 47.80 against 52.20, so the model appears to be treating the two teams as close despite Vaslui's stronger recent profile. The last-five records sharpen that tension: Viitorul Onesti have lost three of five (WDLLL), including a 5-0 win over Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ followed by defeats to CSM Adjud and Gheorgheni, whereas Vaslui are unbeaten in five (WDWWW) with four wins and a 1-1 draw away at Odorheiu Secuiesc. Vaslui's goals analysis reinforces the form line, with 12 goals scored at 2.40 per game and only five conceded at 1.00 per game, and they have failed to score in none of their matches. Viitorul Onesti's goal profile is more mixed: eight scored at 1.60 per game but seven conceded at 1.40, with a pronounced home-away split of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded at home versus 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded away. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight to Vaslui's form, since Viitorul Onesti won the most recent meeting 2-1 in February 2026 and also won 4-1 away in the 2019 Cupa României, though Vaslui's 2-0 home win in October 2025 shows the series is not one-sided. Because the head-to-head sample spans only three matches across different seasons and the last-five samples are just five games each, these splits are suggestive rather than decisive, which helps explain why the probabilities remain tightly grouped and the advice leans on the draw as much as on Viitorul Onesti.

Predicted winner
Viitorul Onesti
Betting advice
Double chance : Viitorul Onesti or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorViitorul OnestiCSM FC Vaslui
Form24.0%76.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2h67.0%33.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total47.8%52.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Viitorul Onesti

Recent form: WDLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

CSM FC Vaslui

Recent form: WDWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Viitorul Onesti 2–1 CSM FC Vaslui (28 Feb 2026)
  2. CSM FC Vaslui 2–0 Viitorul Onesti (04 Oct 2025)
  3. CSM FC Vaslui 1–4 Viitorul Onesti (31 Jul 2019)
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