Viggbyholms IK vs Korsnäs Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Viggbyholms IK via a double chance at 45% home and 45% draw against just 10% for Korsnäs, so the advice is essentially a bet against an away win rather than a strong home endorsement. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Viggbyholms lead on form (80 versus 20), attack (56 versus 44), defence (57 versus 43), goals (57 versus 43) and total (61.3 versus 38.7), yet the Poisson split is nearly level at 51 versus 49, suggesting the underlying scoring model sees a much tighter contest than the headline gaps imply. The head-to-head record also tempers the home case, since Korsnäs won the most recent meeting 1-0 in May 2026 and took a 3-2 home win in September 2025, with Viggbyholms' only win in the sample a 1-0 home result in March 2025. Both teams' season records are poor, but Viggbyholms' 5 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses from 22 games is clearly better than Korsnäs' 2 wins, 5 draws and 15 losses, and Viggbyholms' 4 clean sheets all came away from home while Korsnäs have kept none all season. The goals analysis reinforces the low-scoring expectation, as Viggbyholms average 1.00 goals for and 1.90 against, while Korsnäs average 0.90 for and 2.40 against, and Korsnäs have gone under 2.5 goals in 20 of 22 matches. Recent form is the most contradictory section: Viggbyholms' last five read W-L-L-L-D with only one win and three blanks, while Korsnäs' last five read L-L-L-D-L, meaning both arrive in poor shape and the 80-versus-20 form gap reflects relative rather than absolute strength. Korsnäs' away record offers a partial explanation for their low win probability, with 5 draws and 5 losses on the road and no away clean sheets, though their 14 away goals show they can score when travelling. Overall, the evidence supports the double chance mainly because Korsnäs rarely win, but the near-even Poisson split, the recent head-to-head losses and Viggbyholms' own scoring drought mean the draw component carries much of the value rather than a confident home victory.

Predicted winner

Viggbyholms IK

Betting advice

Double chance : Viggbyholms IK or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Korsnäs 0–1 Viggbyholms IK (31 May 2026)
2. Korsnäs 3–2 Viggbyholms IK (14 Sep 2025)
3. Viggbyholms IK 1–0 Korsnäs (29 Mar 2025)