B-Liga Women · Denmark
Viborg W vs Osterbro W Prediction
· Energi Viborg Arena
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Osterbro W as the winner, yet its own probabilities split the outcome almost evenly between an away win and a draw at 45% each, leaving Viborg W a slim 10% chance, so the advice is best read as a relative lean rather than a confident call. That tension is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Osterbro's form (60.00 versus 40.00), attack (70.00 versus 30.00) and Poisson score (85.00 versus 15.00) all favour the visitors, while the defence ratings sit level at 50.00 and the head-to-head, goals and total columns are all recorded as 0.00, meaning those dimensions offer no separating signal at all. The team records reinforce the same asymmetry: Osterbro's WWWWLW across six matches, with five wins and a single away loss, contrasts with Viborg's LLWWDD, which shows two wins, two draws and two losses but also a two-match winning streak that hints at some resilience. Viborg's goal profile is modest, averaging 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded, with only one of six matches going over 2.5 goals, whereas Osterbro average 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded and have gone over 2.5 goals in four of six, suggesting the visitors carry the greater attacking threat but also the potential for a more open game. The timing patterns add nuance: Viborg score 37.50% of their goals late (76-90) but concede 57.14% in the 46-60 window, while Osterbro's concessions are concentrated entirely in the 16-30 and 31-45 periods, so both sides have identifiable windows of vulnerability that could shape the flow. The last-five records broadly support the model's lean, with Osterbro winning four of five including a 6-0 away rout of AaB W and a 4-1 home win over Esbjerg W, their only blemish a 3-2 away defeat to Thy ThistedQ W. Viborg's recent form is far less convincing, comprising two goalless or low-scoring draws against AaB W and Sundby W, two wins over Naestved W and Esbjerg W, and a 3-1 home loss to Thy ThistedQ W, which together suggest a team capable of grinding results but rarely dominant. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical matchup evidence can be used to confirm or contradict the model's preference, and the goals comparison columns being zero means the fixture-level goal expectation is effectively absent from the comparison table. On balance, the weight of form, attack and Poisson evidence points toward Osterbro W, but the level defence ratings, the 45% draw probability and Viborg's habit of drawing tight games mean the existing advice should be treated as a moderate lean with meaningful draw risk rather than a settled outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Osterbro W
- Betting advice
- Winner : Osterbro W
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Viborg W | Osterbro W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Viborg W
Recent form: LLWWDD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Osterbro W
Recent form: WWWWLW.
Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


