Vianés vs Oyonesa Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output leans toward Oyonesa with a double chance of draw or away, assigning 45% to the draw and 45% to an Oyonesa win while leaving Vianés only a 10% chance, so the advice is essentially a bet against a home victory. That framing is supported by the form comparison, where Oyonesa registers 100.00 against Vianés's 0.00, reflecting Vianés's three straight league defeats (to La Calzada, Pradejón and San Marcial) against Oyonesa's recent win over Casalarreina. The head-to-head record reinforces the away lean, with Oyonesa holding an 80.00 to 20.00 edge and winning six of the ten listed meetings, including a 3-2 home victory in September 2025 and a 1-0 win at Vianés in May 2025. However, the comparison metrics are not uniformly pro-Oyonesa: Vianés leads attack 60.00 to 40.00 and the Poisson measure 100.00 to 0.00, which conflicts with the form and head-to-head signals and suggests the model's confidence rests more on recent results than on underlying attacking or Poisson-based strength. The goals analysis offers a partial reconciliation, since Vianés have scored three goals at 1.00 per game but conceded six at 2.00 per game, while Oyonesa have scored only two at 0.70 per game and conceded four at 1.30 per game, meaning both sides carry defensive fragility that could keep the match close rather than one-sided. Both teams' last-five records show only three current-season fixtures each, so the samples are small: Vianés lost all three 2026-27 matches before a May win and draw, while Oyonesa's sequence is win-loss-loss followed by two older results including a 3-2 defeat at Arnedo. The minute breakdowns add texture, with Vianés conceding three of six goals after the 76th minute and Oyonesa conceding all four of their goals between the 46th and 75th minutes, hinting that late or second-half lapses could matter. Oyonesa's clean sheet in the 1-0 win over Casalarreina is their only shutout, and Vianés have none, which slightly tempers any expectation of a low-scoring away win. Overall, the draw-or-Oyonesa advice is broadly consistent with form and head-to-head evidence, but the Poisson and attack splits in Vianés's favour, plus the tiny three-match samples, mean the 10% home probability looks like a strong claim rather than a settled conclusion.

Predicted winner

Oyonesa

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Oyonesa

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Vianés 2–0 Oyonesa (08 Feb 2026)
2. Oyonesa 3–2 Vianés (28 Sep 2025)
3. Vianés 0–1 Oyonesa (04 May 2025)
4. Oyonesa 2–1 Vianés (22 Dec 2024)
5. Vianés 0–1 Oyonesa (12 May 2024)