Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest

VfR Aalen vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction

· OSTALB ARENA

VfR Aalen badgeVfR Aalen vs FSV Frankfurt badgeFSV Frankfurt

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of a fixture it cannot separate.
  • Aalen's superior form, attack and defence ratings conflict with the model's low 10% home win probability, suggesting those ratings overstate a modest sample.
  • Frankfurt's 71% head-to-head and 73% goals edge anchor the away side of the double chance despite Aalen's recent three-win run.
  • Both attacks average 1.6 goals while both defences concede 1.1, pointing to a tight, low-margin contest that supports covering the draw.
  • Aalen's away record of two wins and no losses from four contrasts with home defeats, weakening any home advantage at the Ostalb Arena.
  • Frankfurt's clean sheets all came at home and none away, a small-sample caution against expecting them to dominate on the road.
Predicted winner
FSV Frankfurt
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or FSV Frankfurt
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorVfR AalenFSV Frankfurt
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals27.0%73.0%
Total45.2%54.8%

Team form and goal analysis

VfR Aalen

Recent form: DDLWWWDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

FSV Frankfurt

Recent form: DLWDDWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. VfR Aalen 1–3 FSV Frankfurt (28 Apr 2024)
  2. FSV Frankfurt 3–0 VfR Aalen (21 Oct 2023)
  3. FSV Frankfurt 1–0 VfR Aalen (27 May 2023)
  4. VfR Aalen 2–1 FSV Frankfurt (19 Nov 2022)
  5. FSV Frankfurt 0–0 VfR Aalen (26 Mar 2022)
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