Vevey Sports vs Servette II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Servette II a 45% win probability and Vevey Sports only 10%, with the remaining 45% on a draw, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Servette II rather than a straight away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Servette II leads on form (91 versus 9), attack (54 versus 46), defence (57 versus 43), Poisson (64 versus 36), head-to-head (80 versus 20), goals (75 versus 25) and total (70.2 versus 29.8), yet the draw share is unusually large for such a lopsided profile. The team analysis explains part of that tension: Vevey Sports have seven played with no wins, one draw and six defeats, including a six-match losing streak, while Servette II have four wins, two draws and one loss, so the gap in results is real but Servette II's single defeat was a heavy 6-0 away loss. Vevey Sports' goals analysis reinforces their weakness, with 8 scored and 20 conceded across seven games (1.10 for and 2.90 against per match), and they have kept no clean sheets while failing to score only once. Servette II are more balanced at 11 scored and 12 conceded (1.60 for and 1.70 against), though their away numbers are notably worse, with 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded per away match and two away games without scoring. The last-five records sharpen this: Vevey Sports have one draw and four defeats, scoring in every game but never more than twice, while Servette II have three wins, one draw and one loss, including a 0-0 draw at Sion II and that 6-0 defeat at Prishtina Bern. The head-to-head record is a small sample of two 2022-23 meetings, a 1-1 draw at Servette II and a 5-1 Vevey Sports home defeat, so it leans toward Servette II but cannot be treated as a strong current-form signal. Overall, the evidence consistently points away from a Vevey Sports win and toward Servette II avoiding defeat, but the draw probability and Servette II's away volatility mean the double-chance advice is better supported than any more specific outcome.

Predicted winner

Servette II

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Servette II

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Servette II 1–1 Vevey Sports (07 May 2023)
2. Vevey Sports 1–5 Servette II (29 Oct 2022)