Versailles vs Valenciennes Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away win.
- Versailles' superior recent form score conflicts with their weak home scoring, since they average just 0.30 goals at home.
- Valenciennes' away record of zero wins from four undermines the away lean, supporting the draw half of the advice.
- Head-to-head favours Valenciennes at 67%, yet three of four meetings were drawn, reinforcing the draw-or-away cover.
- Both attacks rate identically at 50, so the edge comes from Valenciennes' stronger Poisson and goals metrics rather than clear superiority.
- Valenciennes concede 2.50 away per game, a vulnerability that keeps a home win unlikely but not the draw.
- Predicted winner
- Valenciennes
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Valenciennes
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Versailles | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| H2h | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Versailles
Recent form: LWWLLWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Valenciennes
Recent form: LWLDDLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Valenciennes 1–0 Versailles (10 Apr 2026)
- Versailles 1–1 Valenciennes (07 Nov 2025)
- Valenciennes 0–0 Versailles (28 Feb 2025)
- Versailles 1–1 Valenciennes (26 Sep 2024)