Germany · Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Verden 04 vs Heeslinger SC Prediction
Match prediction
- Heeslinger SC's unbeaten eight-match form, including four away wins, strongly supports the model's 45% win probability despite the equally high draw share.
- Verden 04's winless home record with three draws and no clean sheets suggests they can frustrate but rarely dominate, tempering confidence in an away victory.
- Heeslinger's attack-versus-defence edge is decisive: 3.10 goals scored per game against Verden's 1.60 conceded, while Verden averages only 1.10 scored.
- The head-to-head record is perfectly split at 50%, yet all four meetings were away wins, which reinforces rather than undermines the away-side advice.
- Verden's low-scoring profile, failing to score in two away games and never exceeding two goals, limits their capacity to punish Heeslinger's occasional defensive lapses.
- The 45% draw probability alongside 45% away reflects genuine uncertainty, so the advice carries moderate rather than strong conviction.
- Predicted winner
- Heeslinger SC
- Betting advice
- Winner : Heeslinger SC
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Verden 04 | Heeslinger SC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| Attack | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Defence | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Poisson | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Verden 04
Recent form: LDWLDLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Heeslinger SC
Recent form: WDWWWDWD.
Average goals scored: 3.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Heeslinger SC 1–2 Verden 04 (02 Apr 2026)
- Verden 04 2–3 Heeslinger SC (31 Aug 2025)
- Heeslinger SC 2–3 Verden 04 (15 Nov 2024)
- Verden 04 1–2 Heeslinger SC (04 Aug 2024)


