Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama Prediction

Match prediction

• Kataller Toyama's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win itself is far from secure.
• Kofu's five defeats in six, including four straight losses, explain their low 10% win probability and justify favouring the draw-or-away outcome.
• Toyama's five clean sheets and 0.50 away goals-against average contrast sharply with Kofu's zero clean sheets, reinforcing the advice's defensive foundation.
• Kofu's 2.80 away goals-against average and heavy recent losses suggest vulnerability, yet their home scoring of 0.80 per game limits the case for a Toyama win.
• The head-to-head record splits with one win each in 2025, so it only mildly supports the advice rather than confirming Toyama dominance.
• Both teams' goal totals sit at 50%, a neutral signal that leaves the double chance resting mainly on form and defensive contrasts.

Predicted winner

Kataller Toyama

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Kataller Toyama

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Kataller Toyama (23 Nov 2025)
2. Kataller Toyama 2–0 Ventforet Kofu (02 Mar 2025)
3. Kataller Toyama 1–1 Ventforet Kofu (19 Aug 2012)
4. Ventforet Kofu 4–1 Kataller Toyama (17 Jun 2012)