3. liga - CFL B · Czech-Republic

Velké Hamry vs Sokol Brozany Prediction

· Stadion Velke Hamry

Velké Hamry badgeVelké Hamry vs Sokol Brozany badgeSokol Brozany

Match prediction

The existing model output gives Sokol Brozany a 50% chance of winning and a 50% chance of drawing, with Velké Hamry at 0%, so the double-chance advice of draw or Sokol Brozany is effectively a call that the home side will not win. That view is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Sokol Brozany lead heavily on form (86 versus 14), attack (86 versus 14), defence (75 versus 25), Poisson (88 versus 12), head-to-head (80 versus 20) and goals (100 versus 0), while the total metric of 83 versus 17 points the same direction. The team analysis explains the gap: Velké Hamry have lost six of seven matches with no wins, a five-game losing streak and only two goals scored all season, whereas Sokol Brozany have one win, four draws and two defeats, showing they are hard to beat but rarely dominant. The goals data sharpens that contrast, with Velké Hamry averaging 0.30 goals for and 2.70 against, including a 6-0 loss at Jablonec II, while Sokol Brozany average 1.10 for and 1.40 against, so the visitors' advantage looks more about the hosts' weakness than their own firepower. The last-five records confirm the pattern, as Velké Hamry have four defeats and a goalless draw in which they failed to score in four of five, while Sokol Brozany have one win, three draws and one defeat, including a 3-1 win at Horní Ředice and a 0-0 at Benátky nad Jizerou. The head-to-head record is small but consistent with the advice, showing a 1-0 Sokol Brozany home win in June 2026 and a 0-0 draw at Stadion Velke Hamry in April 2026, so Velké Hamry have not beaten this opponent in the two meetings available. However, the 50% draw probability and Sokol Brozany's four draws in seven games suggest the more likely route to the advice being correct is another stalemate rather than an away win, especially since Sokol Brozany have scored only eight goals in seven matches. The evidence therefore supports the draw-or-away framing mainly because Velké Hamry's attack has been almost non-existent, but the low-scoring profile of both sides means the 0% home probability may overstate how comfortably the visitors will avoid defeat.

Predicted winner
Sokol Brozany
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Sokol Brozany
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorVelké HamrySokol Brozany
Form14.0%86.0%
Attack14.0%86.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson12.0%88.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total17.0%83.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Velké Hamry

Recent form: LLLLLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Sokol Brozany

Recent form: DLDDWLD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sokol Brozany 1–0 Velké Hamry (06 Jun 2026)
  2. Velké Hamry 0–0 Sokol Brozany (01 Apr 2026)
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